Tuesday 31 August 2010
Afternoon Report: Looks like a bit of groundswell has built up since this AM. A bit closed out with a dropping tide (high was at noon) and the winds recently switched onshore (was WNW this AM), but it is a gift horse so you might as well not look it in the mouth and get in the water if you have time.
Prediction: Building ESE groundswell through the second half of the week with variable winds; some periods of offshore winds are likely (monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date information regarding the winds) until we start to feel the effects of Earl on his trip up the coast (see more info below).
Extended Forecast: Of course, Hurricane Earl is the next “big thing” in our outlook. Currently located down by Puerto Rico, moving WNW, and predicted to make a wide turn to the N and then NE, his track is very much to-be-determined. He could roll up the coast right by us (or even over us if he hugs the Western edge of the projected track) or could find some traction and eject off Hatteras and pass a bit more offshore), but suffice to say we should see quite a bit of swell late-week as Earl will be somewhere between a high Category 2 and mid-Cat 3 as he passes us (he is currently predicted to downgrade from a 3 to 2 somewhere between Hatteras and New England).
Current Call (subject to change according to track): Forerunner groundswell generated off the outer margin of Earl may sneak through our window as early as Wednesday, with the bulk of the swell rushing in late Thursday/early Friday. Heavy onshore winds, followed by a quick snap to offshore late Friday, is currently on the models, but the timing and intensity of this transition will be VERY dependent on track. Hard offshore winds should come up on the back-side of the storm (most likely overnight Friday-Saturday) with residual groundswell (starting off ESE with additional E and ENE components coming into play) as Earl moves North of us. Monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date information regarding local winds and direction, as well as Earl’s current projected track, and check back late mid-week for an update.
Monday 30 Aug 2010
Report: After a weekend of so-so (as far as hurricane-generated groundswells go) surf from Danielle, we are looking at East groundswell leftovers with spread-out sets and NW-NNW winds this AM.
Prediction: The swell should wind down pretty quickly today, with winds potentially coming up from the SE as the day heats up. Minimal groundswell leftovers and variable winds for Tuesday.
Extended Forecast: Of course, Hurricane Earl is the next “big thing” in our outlook. Currently located down by Puerto Rico, moving WNW, and predicted to make a wide turn to the N and then NE, his track is very much to-be-determined. He could roll up the coast right by us (or even over us if he hugs the Western edge of the projected track) or could find some traction and eject off Hatteras and pass a bit more offshore), but suffice to say we should see quite a bit of swell late-week as Earl will be somewhere between a high Category 2 and mid-Cat 3 as he passes us (he is currently predicted to downgrade from a 3 to 2 somewhere between Hatteras and New England).
Current Call (subject to change according to track): A small forerunner groundswell generated off his outer margin may sneak through our window as early as Wednesday, with the bulk of the swell rushing in late Thursday/early Friday. Heavy onshore winds, followed by a quick snap to offshore late Friday, is currently on the models, but the timing and intensity of this transition will be VERY dependent on track. Monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date information regarding local winds and direction, as well as Earl’s current projected track, and check back late Tuesday or early Wednesday for an update.
Sunday 22 Aug 2010
Report: Washy windswell in the waist to stomach-high range and onshore winds this AM.
Prediction: Increasing SE winds may push up some more windswell as the day goes on, but expect choppy/washy conditions to persist through the day. This low should clear out overnight, giving way to offshore winds and E-ESE mid-period swell for the AM.
Extended Forecast: Another round of strong NE winds Mon night through Tuesday should push up some E-ENE windswell. Things destablize a bit for Wednesday, resulting in winds of mixed direction and intensity (monitor sources of local weather for up to date wind information. Offshore winds are currently in the outlook for Thursday, with smaller E swell leftovers on the models as well. Check back mid-week for an update.
NOTE: TD6 is out there, predicted to strenghthen, and make its way towards the east coast. If the predicted track holds, we may see surf from it by the weekend. We will keep an eye on things and address this in the next update.
Friday 20 Aug 2010
Report: Small but clean ESE background swell. A little shallow and closed-out with the dropping tide, but a few bars here and there look to have enough contour to hold a ridable wave.
Prediction: The turn-around tide might bring some relief from the closeouts later this AM, but also be aware that winds are predicted to come around and up from the E-ESE this afternoon as well.
Weekend Outlook: Small ESE background swell is predicted to stick around into Saturday, with light E-ENE winds forecasted for the AM. Increasing onshore winds Saturday afternoon through Sunday could drive a little additional windswell on top of it, but I would not expect anything substantial to come of it. Potential for rain and T-storms late Sunday as well.
Extended Forecast: It looks like some stronger onshore winds and E-ENE windswell may develop for the early half of next week. Check back late weekend or early next work week for an update.
Wednesday 18 Aug 2010
Report: Small E background swell and light sideshore winds this AM. Not seeing much worth riding; maybe on a log or fat fish.
Prediction: Some rain and increasing onshore/sideshore winds this afternoon, so probably looking at further-degrading conditions. Unfortunately the low we were hoping for weakened and moved through a bit early, stuffing the onshore flow we had hoped would produce some windswell over the next few days…
Extended Forecast: Instead, we are looking at a small increase in the E background swell for Thursday with a mixed bag of light to moderate onshore/sideshore winds (monitor local weather for that info). We are looking at an offshore AM/warm-weather-induced sideshore windshift wind pattern for Friday, so whatever background swell sticks around should be reasonably clean for at least the AM session. Again, monitor sources of local weather for up to date wind information, and check back here often for updates.
Tuesday 17 Aug 2010
Report: Combo E background/SE windswell this AM with SW-WSW winds. Semi-clean but not well-groomed, and bottoming out with an AM low tide.
Prediction: Winds may come up SE later this AM/early afternoon. T-storm condtions likely this PM, so that would affect local winds (could turn it back offshore on the approach or backside of the storms).
Extended Forecast: Onshore E-ENE winds return for Wed-Thurs, driving a new round of E-angled windswell. Potential cleanup late week (currently looknig like Friday).
NOTE: Jetty Coquina Jam is scheduled for this Wednesday Aug 18. Check the Surf News section for more info.
Friday 13 Aug 2010
Report: E winds and some sloppy E windswell.
Prediction: Increasing E winds and building E windswell through today. Much of the same for Saturday, but winds might back down a bit. Expect conditions typical of onshore winds and swell with a matching direction (could be a slop-fest, could be somewhat ridable with semi-organized faces).
Extended Forecast: Winds are predicted to be moderate and E early, and come up from the SE later, on Sunday and continue through Monday. Monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date wind information, and check back here for an update early next week.
NOTE: Dark Fall is “re-premiering” at HOB in AC tonight. Check the Surf News section for more on this and other upcoming surf-related happenings.
Tuesday 10 Aug 10
Report: Smaller combo S-windswell/E groundswell leftovers and offshore winds, but the 8AM high tide is snuffing it out at most locations, but standout breaks are holding a decent wave.
Prediction: Increasing onshore winds this afternoon may cross-chop the surface conditions, but if the winds manage to hold off we might see some decent lines come through as the tide drains later this AM or early afternoon.
Extended Forecast: Continued fading swell through Tuesday AM, with light and variable winds; I would expect the 9AM high tide to thwart attempts at an AM session, but standout high-tide breaks may hold something ridable. Increasing onshore winds anywhere between the ESE and ENE, but not a whole lot of fetch associated with them, are predicted Tuesday afternoon though the end of the work-week, so anticipate onshore windswell conditions to wax and wane over the course of the next few days.
NOTE: Some upcoming events, such as the Jetty Coquina Jam, SeaPaddle NYC, and Grom Grudge Match Jr., will be posted to the Surf News section shortly; keep checking in.
04 August 2010
Report: Some small ESE swell in the knee- to waist-high range. Winds are on the light-ish side, resulting in semi-clean, weak-but-ridable waves.
Prediction: Winds between SSE and SSW are predicted to pick up as the day goes on, perhaps generating a little more S-SSW windswell on top of what we already have on-hand. Some T-storms passing through overnight Wed-Thurs might bump the windswell up a touch for Thursday AM, with SW-WSW winds to boot (FYI- localized T-storms could throw the wind directions for a loop).
Extended Forecast: Despite getting pretty sheared up, the remnants of TS Colin may still throw a little love our way. A slow build of mid-period groundswell starting Friday and peaking on Saturday is on the charts, with offshore NW-WNW winds predicted for Friday and variable (both direction and intensity) through the weekend. Best to monitor sources of local weather for up to date information regarding the winds. Check back here over the next few days for updates as details develop.
STOLEN BOARD ALERT, Point Pleasant Beach. Check the Surf News section for more info.
Tuesday 27 July 2010
Report: Small background waves, knee- to maybe thigh-high with a rising tide (high is around 9AM). Clean with light offshore winds.
Forecast: Winds will most likely be shifting and coming up from the S-SE later this A as the day heats up. Continued small background swell predicted through mid-week.
Extended Forecast: Sideshore winds on Wednesday from the S-SSW should build a hard-angled S windswell. Currently, a weak low is predicted to push through on Thursday, which should pull winds around to a more offshore (currently looking SW to WSW) angle as the front clears, cleaning up the windswell (not looking like a true swell event, but there (hopefully) should be something worth riding. Monitor sources of local weather for up to date wind information and check back here mid-week for an update.
NOTE: Check the Surf News section for other upcoming events. Additionally, I often post short-notice reports and occasionally post prediction updates in the Surf News section (especially on weekends), so keep your eye on the blinking marquee box to the upper right.
Friday 23 July 2010
Report: Small, clean surf, light onshore winds. Not QUITE there yet (dropping tide should help), but I am sure you could grab a few on a LB or fatty fish.
Prediction: A small ESE groundswell is predicted to fill later this morning/early afternoon. The only fly in the ointment is that S-SSE winds are predicted to pick up as well.
Extended Forecast: This small groundswell is predicted to wax and wane over the weekend; combine that with localized SE windswell and predicted W-SW winds, and we have the formula for a decent weekend of small but fun surf in the making. As always, beware windshifts to the S-SSE as daytime temperatures heat up.
NOTE: EVENT REMINDER, TONIGHT: Singlefins, Boardwalks, And Story Talks: An Evening Of New Jersey Surf History Presented By Intercourse Brewing Company hits the Tuckerton Seaport’s New Jersey Surfing Museum in Tuckerton, NJ, from 6:00 to 10:00 p.m.
NOTE #2: Check the Surf News section for other upcoming events as well.
NOTE #3: I often post short-notice reports and occasionally post prediction updates in the Surf News section (especially on weekends), so keep your eye on the blinking marquee box to the upper right.
Tuesday 20 July 2010
Report: SE windswell in the waist to chest high range with SW winds. A bit on the washy and weak side, but could improve as the tide fills in.
Prediction: Dropping SE windswell through the day. An additional small ESE mid-period groundswell is predicted to build late AM or early afternoon as well. Beware a warm-weather-induced windshift to the S-SE this afternoon.
Extended Forecast: A localized windswell + small mid-period E-ESE groundswell combination is on the models for Wednesday-Thursday with mixed winds (mostly offshore/angled offshore, but again, beware a warm-weather-induced windshift to the S-SE in the afternoons).
NOTE: I often post short-notice reports and occasionally post prediction updates in the Surf News section until Brent gets them up on the main page here, so keep your eye on the blinking marquee box to the upper right. Also, lots of surf-related going-ons in the near-future, so check out that info there as well. Finally, do not forget the used Coil shortboard I posted in the Surf News section back on June 4th; it is a great price for a great board.
.
Combo VHS Deal 
