Report: A little smaller than anticipated/hoped today. Looking in the knee- to thigh-high range. At least the wind is offshore SW-WSW, and we could see an incoming push early afternoon as the tide turns and starts to fill, but also beware the possibility of a wind-shift to the S-SSE as the day heats up.
Prediction: More of the same, swell-wise, for Saturday, but with NW-NNW winds early, giving way to onshore ESE-SE. As always, I recommend you monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date wind information.
Extended Forecast: We have two tropical systems at play in the Atlantic: Hurricane Kirk is well-offshore and likely partially-responsible for this waxing-and-waning underlying ESE groundswell we have been seeing over the last few days, but he is looking to be a “fish” storm and will most likely remain far offshore and move off to the NNE. Still, anticipate continued underlying groundswell through the Holiday weekend, peaking on Sunday. Unfortunately, it looks like Sunday/Monday will also be plagued by sideshore/onshore winds from the S-SSE. Tropical Storm Leslie is also well-offshore and far to the South, but predicted to develop into a Hurricane and hook NW-NNW, most likely entering our swell window by mid-week. Winds are looking like a mixed bag and not all that encouraging through much of this event, but those details will be ironed out as the time draws closer. Lots going on and lots of variables at play, so I’ll probably update again before the holiday is over. As always, I recommend you monitor sources of local weather for up-to-date wind information.