06/30/12 Report and Prediction

Report: TS Debby has been downgraded and her remnants are moving out to sea.  While the predicted models don’t fully support it, my eyes-on check this AM revealed what look like a few early-arriving groundswell lines already showing, mixed in with some leftover mid-period stuff from yesterday, all groomed by light offshore winds.  A little walled-out, so you are probably going to need something with a little foam and cruise to gain early-entry and start moving down the line.  The tide is low and still dropping, so finding a location with some feature to the sand (the flat bars in town are not working at all) will be key if you want to get in sooner than later.

Prediction:  Low incoming (low is approximately 11AM) holds the most promise, but while offshore SW-WSW winds are predicted all day, with temps headed into the high 80’s there is a good chance of a warm-weather-induced South wind-shift late AM/early afternoon.

Extended Forecast:  Small groundswell courtesy of Debby/Debby’s remnants are predicted to wax and wane through the remainder of the weekend, with light and variable (mostly offshore but with varying tilt) winds predicted through the period as well.  Monitor sources of local weather for up to date wind information and key into local reports for current surf conditions.

Looking ahead, I see some groundswell numbers on the models for early work-week, which could be some leftovers from the Debby disturbance/trail and/or some long-period lines from another low pushing off the SE/mid-Atlantic seaboard clearing out the current high pressure ridge associated with the current heat-wave.  Check back for an update late-weekend/early work-week.

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