04/25/12 Report: We are still seeing remnant mid-period ESE swell this morning; after a period of light offshore winds early, winds came around and up out of the S-SSE around 9AM and continue to blow steadily.
Prediction: A weak high-low pressure interaction is predicted for mid-day, possibly bringing scattered showers. While not much of a swell-driver, it could add a minor cross-swell/chop from the SSE. The mass of this weather event will likely remain to the north (North Jersey and NY) of the CNJ and SNJ coastal areas, so it could draw the winds SW as it passes by/through late-afternoon/evening. As always, I recommend you keep your eyes on the flags and online resources to make the best go-time call.
Extended Forecast: The aforementioned weather is only the precursor/forerunner of a more significant rain event that will pass through our area late tonight through early Thursday, bringing with it more rain and more S-SSE windswell. The timing of the passage of the front is a little suspect and worrisome, but from the current vantage point it looks like we could be seeing offshore winds by late-afternoon or early evening. Again, I strongly recommend you keep your eyes on the flags and online resources to make the best go-time call.
I plan to update sometime Thursday AM or early afternoon with an update that will hopefully provide greater resolution.